January 02, 2008

Look forward 2008

The past year was good for Hollywood, having sold $9.7B worth of box office receipts, with the "Three-plays" taking the majority. While many newspapers and film websites focus on the year past, I'm going to look at the future. This year has many sequels set for the silver screen and I predict that the top 3 film will be sequels at the very least.

I'm going to keep a running total of success in four film areas
1) Sci-Fi
2) Comic Book
3) Animated
4) Fantasy

Here is how the top ten looked for 2007, domestically.

1 . Spider-Man 3 - $336.5m
2 . Shrek the Third - $321.0m
3 . Transformers - $319.1m
4 . Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - $309.4m
5 . Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix - $292.0m
6 . The Bourne Ultimatum - $227.5m
7 . 300 - $210.6m
8 . Ratatouille - $206.4m
9 . I Am Legend - $205.1m
10. The Simpsons Movie - 183.1m

So what should we see at the end of 2008?

1 . Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull $325m
2 . Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince $250m
3 . Batman: Dark Knight $225m
4 . Chronicles of Narnia $200m
5 . Iron Man $190m
6 . WALL-E $175m
7 . Hancock $150m
8 . The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon $125m
9 . Horton Hears a Who $125m
10. Kung Fu Panda $120m

The only reason Star Trek is not on the list, is that it will only be in theatres for two week s in 2008 but I think it's total box-office pull with be in the $195m area. So all in all I think the box-office year will be down, and the current Writers Strike and summer Actors Strike and Director Strike will have something to do with it. But then again if the strike drags on, it could boost late summer tallies, so moving release dates could be beneficial to a film set for September or October.