December 27, 2015

Fastest Film to $500M

Big films make big money at the boxoffice then sequels are ordered. Disney has done something a little different at their Lucasfilms division. They ordered six films, set release dates, one per year, then made and released the films.

Star Wars: The Force Awakens hit theatres Dec 18, two weekends ago, and opening night was so huge theatres were scrambling to add showings. A record breaking $247.9 Million in its first three days, cracked $300 Million on Tuesday and $400 Million on Friday. Now the big $500 Million domestic record was smashed on Sunday, the 10th day of the film's release. It took Jurassic World 17 day to make that point and the first Avengers film 23 days. The alltime record holding film of North American and worldwide box-office is 2009's Avatar, which broke $500 Million in 32 days, and $600 Million 15 days later.

Star Wars: The Force Awakens should cross the $600 Million line on Wednesday and mid-way through next weekend we should see the passing of the $700 Million mark. Avatar finished its theatrical run in the box-office with $760.507 Million. Star Wars: The Force Awakens was released on the same day of the year as Avatar, but where Star Wars is at $544.57 Million in just 10 days, it took Avatar 38 days (January 24) to get that far.

Will Star Wars: The Force Awakens make $1 Billion domestically? The chances are pretty good, its worldwide total seems to be at 1.799 Billion right now. Conservative estimates have the film crashing through the $900 Million mark just as the film is released in China on January 9, 2016. China is the second biggest film market worldwide and will greatly pump the international box office numbers, even beyond the 2.023 Billion of Avatar.

December 25, 2015

Top 16 Films of 2016

Last few years I've looked at the Top 14 for 2014 and the Top 15 Films of 2015, and I show the results in January, but now I want to look at what I think will be the best genre films of 2016.

NameDateTheir predictionTheir RankMy PredictionMy Rank

Star Wars: Rogue Squadron16 Dec 2016$ 365.701-50$ 315.701
Captain America: Civil War6 May 2016$ 334.023-20$ 314.022
Batman v Superman 25 Mar 2016$ 355.532-50$ 305.533
X-Men Apocalypse27 May 2016$ 210.76520$ 230.764
Finding Dory17 Jun 2016$ 218.2645$ 223.265
Star Trek Beyond22 Jul 2016$ 182.01720$ 204.016
Suicide Squad5 Aug 2016$ 194.666-5$ 189.667
Fantastic Beasts & Where to Find Them18 Nov 2016$ 164.83820$ 184.838
The Jungle Book - Disney15 Apr 2016$ 143.63107$ 150.639
Secret Life of Pets8 Jul 2016$ 100.301950$ 150.3010
Independence Day: Resurgence24 Jun 2016$ 158.029-10$ 148.0211
Deadpool12 Feb 2016$ 112.071723$ 135.0712
Doctor Strange4 Nov 2016$ 132.8512$ 132.8513
Warcraft10 Jun 2016$ 92.702138$ 130.7014
Kung Fu Panda 329 Jan 2016$ 119.021410$ 129.0215
Zootopia4 Mar 2016$ 114.811514$ 128.8116

Who is they?
Their prediction comes from Hollywood Stock Exchange as of Dec 25/15, while HSX is a game, it's a game that does well at predicting the box-office results of Hollywood films. I don't always agree and that's how I earn H$ in the game. All dollar amounts are in Millions ($62.44 = $62,440,000)

1) Star Wars: Rogue Squadron $315 - Opening the same weekend as the incredibly well performing Star Wars: The Force Awakens, this film gets the benefit of two more weekend days in 2016. I am basing this prediction strictly on the 2016 calendar year. If Marvel's Captain America and Warner's Batman v Superman do the numbers I predict, this is going to be a very tight race. The film overall I think will make close to $400.

2) Captain America: Civil War $314 - A great cast and a story that the fans are all behind and this film could actually do a lot more. Age of Ultron did $459 and Batman v Superman is 6 weeks before and will have died down in the box office by then.

3) Batman v Superman $305 - Warner Bros. are placing big hopes on this film launching a cinematic universe akin to Marvel. I really don't think they have the vision and planning in place to make this happen and I think the top heavy cast of this film is part of the reason. Comic book movies work best in a trimmed cast situation. Throw more at it and it's harder to follow.

4) X-Men: Apocalypse $230 - Following from what I said about Batman and Superman and Wonder Woman, too big of a cast. Being a little later in the year than the other could be a blessing for this film's opening weekend, it is Memorial Day in the USA.

5) Finding Dory $223 - The return of some of Pixar's most beloved characters, right at the end of the school year, will give this film legs. It should have a good opening weekend followed by a long run at the boxoffice.

6) Star Trek: Beyond $204 - The first trailer out for this film didn't wow audiences but I have faith in JJ Abrams as a producer and Simon Pegg as a writer. I expect that this film will excite audiences where Ghostbusters the week before won't.

7) Suicide Squad $189 - The second DC film of 2016 and if Batman v Superman bombs, then so will this. People already don't like the look of the film and its characters. The only saving grace this film has is that its going to be a slow August.

8) Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them $184 - Set in New York 70 years before Harry and his friends arrive at Hogwarts. This film continues the JK Rowling Universe as the first of three in this series.

9) The Jungle Book $150 - Disney's live-action take on their 1967 animated film, based on the works of Rudyard Kipling. There are a whole slew of related films to come, like Tarzan and Jungle Book: Origins (Warner Bros 2017).

10) Secret Life of Pets $150 - From the studio that brought us Despicable Me and Minions, a story about what our pets get up to when we're away.

11) Independence Day: Resurgence $148 - The aliens that kicked our ass in 1996 come back for a second helping.

12) Deadpool $135 - I wouldn't be surprised if this sassy valentines weekend film out does my prediction.

13) Doctor Strange $132 - Marvel's November release pulls the Master of Mysticism from comic book pages and into the lineup for the next Avengers film.

14) Warcraft $130 - This film's box-office numbers almost seem too low for the amount of time that went into making it. With a film based on a game that has 5.5 Million active players, you'd think you could get more than $24 per player out of them, or are they to busy buying Blood Spirits?

15) Kung Fu Panda $129 - January is just a bad time for films that aren't Oscar contenders.

16) Zootopia $128 - Disney may score well with this animated featre that sits between Deadpool and Batman v Superman.

November 24, 2015

November 11, 2015

Wholock in Theatres

Another Christmas and another Doctor Who special, this year in theatres. This year the BBC and BBC America, and assuming Canada's SPACE, will air the special on Christmas Day, but special events releaser will feature the 1.5 hour show on theatre screens across the country on December 28 and 29.

It’s Christmas in the future and the TARDIS is parked on a snowy village street, covered in icicles, awaiting its next adventure. Time traveler River Song meets her husband’s new incarnation, in the form of Peter Capaldi, for the first time! Don’t miss this unique opportunity to celebrate the holidays with fellow Whovians in cinemas this December.

FathomEvents is set to release the list of theatres this Friday.

Sherlock: The Abominable Bride is a special from Steven Moffat and the BBC, this time the boys of 221B Baker St. adventure in 1895, where Arthur Conan Doyle set the original Holmes tales. Benedict Cumberbatch, and Martin Freeman reprise their roles in this nearly two-hour adventure from the writing team of Steven Moffat and Mark "Mycroft" Gatiss.

FathomEvents will screen this one-shoot show on January 5 and 6.